Peter, be careful bringing out the champagne bottles too early on gold. Since 2012 gold has started the year going up significantly.
Here is what some others are saying for the 2016 outlook for gold:
Gold will finally carve out a base and bottom in the $950 to $1,050 range. The gold price will show a high level of volatility and ultimately close out 2016 with a gain of 20% or more. The silver price will follow gold, with a higher level of volatility in both directions. Precious metals will likely get dragged down initially in any economic crisis, but the monetary will bounce back quickly and re-assert themselves as true safe haven assets. With such a small level of investor participation in gold and silver currently, it will not take much a shift of funds into this relatively tiny market to move the prices significantly higher.
Arizona gold nugget
2016 Gold Outlook #3
Gold and silver prices have been in decline since 2011, but it is only during the past year that average prices will finish well below even the most conservative estimates of production costs. The recent carnage in base metals will add significantly to constraints on precious metals supply in the months ahead.
2016 Gold Outlook #4
Only time will tell if 2016 can top this year’s record. We look set to enter the New Year in much the same way we entered 2015 – with steady, but far from overwhelming buying activity for fabricated coins, rounds, and bars. Investors loaded up in recent months and now await the next catalyst.
It may be price action. Lower spot prices over the past 4 years have been a big driver of demand. And prices moving consistently higher will also inspire demand from newcomers (as we saw during the last bull cycle between 2009 – 2011). Only flat or range-bound prices typically lead to investor apathy.
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Gold nuggets typically sell for a higher price than the gold spot price because they are considered gem stones and are more rare than gold dust. Most of the bullion that is traded on the stock market is made from gold dust melted down to form coins; 98% of the worlds gold is in gold dust form and not gold nuggets.